Thursday, 30 August 2012

Kayani's Kargil



Pakistan Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Kayani’s recent soul-stirring call for peace and development – and withdrawal of Indian troops from the Siachen Glacier because it was such a waste of money and human beings! – has now been shown up to be of the same kind of perfidy indulged in by his predecessor and mentor the military dictator General Pervez Musharraf designer and executor of the Kargil fiasco. Talking peace while preparing for war of the sleazy type is Pakistan’s forte and it appears its military personnel have refined it to perfection. Even as General Kayani, after visiting the site of the massive avalanche in Gyari in north Pakistan-occupied Kashmir where nearly 200 Pakistani troops of the Northern Light Infantry were buried alive, talked of peace and development his footsoldiers were busy digging a tunnel in the Akhnoor sector of the Samba bulge that gives access to India’s lines of communications to Jammu and Kashmir. The intention was to cut Kashmir at the jugular and the hope was that the valley would fall like a ripe plum into Pakistan’s lap.

Kayani’s Siachen gambit too reeked of perfidy because, after handing over the defence of the northern segment of Pakistan-occupied Kashmir to China which had already deployed up to 11,000 troops disguised as labourers, technicians and engineers, he wants only a bilateral Indo-Pak deal which would leave the whole of northern Kashmir in Chinese hands.

This division of labour in north Kashmir appears to have a pattern given that Pakistan has begun to apply the same kind of tactics that it has done through the use of cross-border terrorism combined with artillery support by the Pakistan Army along its border with Afghanistan. And, of course, there is deniability galore even when proof is proferred of blatant Pakistani involvement. President Karzai of Afghanistan has had to warn Pakistan of serious consequences for its acts of terrorism against Afghans who are preparing themselves for the transition that will need to happen when the majority of International Security Assistance Force which includes NATO and US troops is withdrawn. Pakistan sees it as a window of opportunity to reestablish its hegemony in Afghanistan and regain the strategic depth it lost when the Americans swept the Taliban out of Kabul It is with this intention that it has kept the Haqqani faction of the Taliban under cover and has occasionally used it as a hatchet-arm against the US and Indian embassies in Kabul and the ISAF in north east Afghanistan.

The discovery of the tunnel in the Akhnoor sector of the international border between Pakistan and India this week also carries with it a pattern that has become common on both sides of Pakistan’s borders. The tunneling is a replica of what was enacted by the Taliban when they dug a channel with such accuracy as to be able to reach the cell in which political prisoners – largely Taliban commanders – were held. It helped more than 500 battlehardened Islamic fundamentalist jihadis to escape from Kandahar jail. At that time an Indian analyst had predicted that similar techniques would be utilized against India in the near future. His analysis was based on the commonality of techniques and mindsets between Pakistan, North Korea and China.


Himalayan Affairs attempt ongoing analysis on pakistan news papers, assam terrorism and the survey indicated in Pakistan news papers. If you want to know more about Terrorism and India, visit - Himalayanaffairs.org

Pak Ground Realties Demand A New Indian Perspective



Whither Pakistan? It is badly caught in a trap of its own vicious policies and postures. Its extremist groups, patronized and nurtured by the ISI and sections of the military establishment, have grown so big that they are threating the very democratic existence of Pakistan. The civilian authority in Islamabad appears to be helpless as a large number of people have become victims of suicide bomb attacks and reckless firing by the extremists.

Blurb: Regrettably, what is not being realized by Islamabad’s ‘democratic rulers’ is the threat posed by Islamist militants to their very survival and existence. They could be gobbled up unless they act fast. In fact, the explosive situation in Pakistan could go out of their control if they don’t arrest the current drift. The entire setting today is certainly not in the interest of liberal forces in Pakistan in the face of possibility of military-militant coup.

Why do not the army authorities act decisively against these Taliban collaborators? Are they deliberately trying to create a civil-war type situation in Pakistan as a justification for a coup? Such a possibility cannot be ruled out as the Pakistan government is presently locked in another grim battle of survival vis-à-vis the Supreme Court on longstanding charges of corruption against President Zardari. There is apparently a method in these acts of madness. It suits the army to show the civilian rulers in bad light.

This is very unfortunate at a time when India wants Pakistan to act against the masterminds and operators of 26/11 Mumbai attacks firmly and ruthlessly. We understand Islamabad’s half-hearted response to India in such vital matters.

These are indeed bad signs for improved Indo-Pak ties. In fact, New Delhi should keep up its pressures without being unduly optimistic about a new beginning in relationship with Islamabad.

Meanwhile India’s External Affairs Minister S M Krishna was quite categorical in his assertion during his recent Tokyo meeting with his Pakistani counterpart Hina Rabbani Khar that “normalization of relations between the two countries could only be possible in an atmosphere free of terror, and hence the need for creation of the right atmosphere.”

Ms Khar is a decent person. She is both courteous and charming, but she could not have given any specific commitment on the business of terrorism on behalf of her government. She has her own limitations which we understand in Pakistan’s larger domestic realities. Still, it will be gratifying if she could make the authorities back home understand the Indian viewpoint on the basis of fresh disclosures made by 26/11 handler Zaibuddin Ansari alias Abu Jundal about the involvement of “state actors” in the 2008 Mumbai attack and its mastermind Hafiz Saeed.

Looking at the ongoing terrorism-oriented mindset, I doubt if Krishna’s words would carry any conviction with the Islamabad authorities. They continue to be in the denial mould on every terror-related evidence provided by New Delhi.


Himalayan Affairs attempt ongoing analysis on india terrorism, kashmir terrorism and the survey indicated in Pakistan news papers. If you want to know more about Terrorism and India, visit - Himalayanaffairs.org